Charissa Bichsel: http://www.cnn.com/ALLPOLITICS/stories/1999/02/18/...Here's an article about how polls are done. Sounds like the calls are from random listed and unlisted home phones.
Davis Zou: I can't see why one party would own more cell phones than the other.PS, the asker emailed me and doesn't understand what my reply had to do with her question, so let me spell it out: she asked, "how do you think the increased use of cell phones as primary telephones effects the polling accuracy?"My answer is, it wouldn't, since members of both parties are just as likely to have a cell phone as a primary phone.Clear?...Show more
Cassidy Pangrazio: Much of the polling is done by people who have an agenda. The people that are doing the polling often aren't trained well and they interpret what the polled people are saying to fit what they want to hear. That one poll is so far out of consistancy from the others is revealing that the poll or the people sponsoring the po! ll have a political agenda and the poll is not genuine.
Karl Jantzen: probably. i got called for the first time ever this year. the caller was obviously an obama supporter so i told him that i was voting for obama just to get him off the phone. then two obama supporters showed up at my front door. i didn't answer and they left a nice packet of propaganda on my front porch.
Antonia Mogg: They are accurate within their own samples.The trouble is their samples are not reflective of the voting population nor are they intended to be. We can see the intention by the "sample bias."If I did a poll, I wouldn't ask people at random because the odds are against my sample being any good. I would have to find the composition of likely voters and be sure my sample reflected as similar a composition as I could get. If media polls did that and made poor assumptions, the result would be wrong but you might think they didn't intend for it to be wrong. The thing is, each poll has ! a sample more weighted to Democrats than the previous poll. Th! is makes it obvious they are deliberately inflating the results in the Democrats' favor. Last cycle ('04) near the end they were polling almost 3 times as many Democrats as Republicans then pretended they were SHOCKED when Kerry didn't win....Show more
Kris Bozelle: Bush beat Kerry by 2.45% in 2004.http://www.pollingreport.com/2004.htmif you look at the final trial heats...most polls had bush barely winning...and that is what happened. so I would say that a poll can be very accurate......Show more
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